Reduction of uncertainty associated with future changes in Indian summer monsoon projected by climate models and assessment of monsoon teleconnections

Rajendran, K and Surendran, S and Kitoh, A and Varghese, SJ (2016) Reduction of uncertainty associated with future changes in Indian summer monsoon projected by climate models and assessment of monsoon teleconnections. In: Proceedings of SPIE - The International Society for Optical Engineering, 3 May 2016.

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Abstract

Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) coupled global climate model (CGCM) Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) simulations project clear future temperature increase but diverse changes in Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) with substantial inter-model spread. Robust signals of projected changes are derived based on objective criteria and the physically consistent simulations with the highest reliability suggest future reduction in the frequency of light rainfall but increase in high to extreme rainfall. The role of equatorial Indian and Pacific Oceans on the projected changes in monsoon rainfall is investigated. The results of coupled model projections are also compared with the corresponding projections from high resolution AGCM time-slice, multi-physics and multi-forcing ensemble experiments

Item Type:	Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Subjects:	MATHEMATICAL AND COMPUTER SCIENCES
Depositing User:	Mrs SK Pratibha
Date Deposited:	03 Jul 2018 13:50
Last Modified:	03 Jul 2018 13:50
URI:	http://nal-ir.nal.res.in/id/eprint/12874

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